Box Office Winners League: Screened Forum Edition

Topic started by JokerSmilez on Oct. 14, 2011. Last post by jackanderson 1 year, 6 months ago.
Post by JokerSmilez (437 posts) See mini bio

So, inspired by the awesome new series featuring Matt, Ryan, and Norm competing by guessing opening weekend box office totals, I thought it would be cool if the community got a little involved as well.

Here's the link to the feature, if you haven't seen it yet: http://www.screened.com/box-office-winners-league-101411/128-862/

My idea was that if anyone wants to compete, they'll just post in this thread with their guesses. Deadline to get guesses in is Friday at midnight. We'll use this same thread week to week and I'll update this post with the results and overall tally.

How scoring will work is we'll total up the value of your guesses and compare it with the total actual box office totals for the movies in question. Person who's closest takes the week and we'll keep a running total until the send of season 1 (6 week season).

New scoring system

After looking at the numbers with the original scoring system I noticed it was flawed, so I've come up with something more accurate. We'll take the difference between guessed total and actual total for each film and then add up the total differences. For example, if I guessed $10 million for Movie A and $15 million for Movie B and they both earned $12 million, I'd end up with a total difference of $5 million (instead of $1 million with the old scoring system).

Post your guesses!

Week 1 results are in!

Fishow17 is the winner with an uncanny difference of just less than $4.5 million!

Ryan scored a middle of the road 5th place while Matt was second last. No one lost harder than Norm though who was off by more than $25 million.

I will update this post again once the Week 2 video goes up on Friday and we have guesses from the Ryan, Matt, and Norm. Thanks all for taking part!

Week 1 films:

  1. Footloose - $16.1 million
  2. The Big Year - $3.5 million
  3. The Thing - $8.7 million
  4. Trespass - $18,200

    Week 1 results:

NameFootloose guessDiff. from actualThe Big Year guessDiff. from actualThe Thing guessDiff. from actualTrespass guessDiff. from actualTOTAL DIFF.
Fishow17$17.3m$1.2m$6m$2.5m$8.6m$100k$660k$641.8k$4,441,800
Mr. Mazz$12m$4.1m$8m$4.5m$10m$1.3m$400k$381.8k$10,281,800
skidd$18.7m$2.6m$7.9m$4.4m$12m$3.3m$300k$281.8k$10,581,800
JokerSmilez$11.5m$4.6m$8.5m$5m$9.8m$1.1m$1.2m$1,181.8k$11,881,800
Ryan$14.3m$1.8m$11m$7.5m$12.5m$3.8m$500k$481.8k$13,581,800
ElectricBoogaloo$14.5m$1.6m$8.2m$4.7m$16.7m$8m$500k$481.8k$14,781,800
mylifeforAuir$15m$1.1m$8m$4.5m$18m$9.3m$100k$81.8k$14,981,800
CrimsonAvenger$23.4m$7.3m$6m$2.5m$15m$6.3m$255k$236.8k$16,336,800
Matt$9.8m$6.3m$7.8m$4.3m$15.5m$6.8m$400k$381.8k$17,781,800
Norm$22m$5.9m$14m$10.5m$18m$9.3m$100k$81.8k$25,781,800
Post by ElectricBoogaloo (229 posts) See mini bio

Great idea.

Here's mine:

Footloose - $14.5 million

The Big Year - $8.2 million

The Thing - $16.7 million

Trespass - $500 thousand

Week 1 Total - $39.9 million

Post by skidd (2,155 posts) See mini bio

Nice! Here are my guesses:

Footloose - $18.7 million

The Big Year - $ 7.9 million

The Thing - $ 12 million

Trespass - $ 300k

Total - $38.9 million

Post by MrMazz (1,541 posts) See mini bio

I'm in

Footloose - 12 million

The Big Year - 8 million

The Thing - 10 million

Trespass - 400k

Total - 30.4 million

Post by Fishow17 (21 posts) See mini bio

Why not?

Footloose-$17.3 million

The Big Year-$6 million

The Thing-$8.6 million

Trespass-$660K

Total-$32.5 million

Post by Rorie (3,216 posts) See mini bio

We are going to try and work in a way to get some user submissions into the next season of the game. (Probably subscribers only.) We'll see!

Post by JokerSmilez (437 posts) See mini bio

@Rorie: Awesome! In the meantime, we can try and beat Norm so we can shame him on Twitter.

Post by CrimsonAvenger (1,277 posts) See mini bio

The Thing-$15 Million

Footloose- $23.4 Million

The Big Year-$6 Million

Trespass-$255K

Total: $44.6 Million

Post by mylifeforAiur (1,662 posts) See mini bio

I'll give it a go:

The Thing: $18 Million. 

Footloose: $15 Million.

The Big Year: $8 Million.

Trespass: $100, 000.

Total amount: $41, 100, 000.

Post by CrimsonAvenger (1,277 posts) See mini bio

Well looking at the Weekend Estimates, Fishow 17 is close on Footloose and The Thing but that's it. Real Steel appears to be actually leading the weekend box office.

Post by ElectricBoogaloo (229 posts) See mini bio

I'm jumping the gun a bit here so I won't actually post the numbers, I'll just say that The Thing and The Big Year both completely bombed.

Post by SurferZ (9 posts) See mini bio

It looks like everyone way overshot Trespass.

Post by Fishow17 (21 posts) See mini bio

Man, almost perfectly guessed the Thing.

Post by JokerSmilez (437 posts) See mini bio

I edited the main post.

Results are in! We have a winner but most importantly we have a loser!

EDIT

After looking more closely at the spreadsheet, I think the scoring system is flawed. Give me some time to crunch the numbers and I'll re-edit the main post with a more accurate representation.

EDIT 2

I've updated the results with the new scoring system.

Post by skidd (2,155 posts) See mini bio

Nice! I'm liking the new scoring system (mainly because I've moved up 3 places).

Thanks for doing these - looking forward to next week's edition!

Post by skidd (2,155 posts) See mini bio

Are we good to go for another round of this?

Post by ElectricBoogaloo (229 posts) See mini bio

I'll stick mine in here anyway.

The Three Musketeers - $11.8 million

Paranormal Activity 3 - $35.6 million

Johnny English Reborn - $3 million

The Mighty Macs - $2.2 million

Week 2 Total - $52.6 million

Post by skidd (2,155 posts) See mini bio

Just in case...

Three Musketeers - 13.8m

Paranormal Activity - 34.2m

Johnny English Reborn - 6m

Mighty Macs - 1.9m

Total - 55.9 m (right?!)

Post by mylifeforAiur (1,662 posts) See mini bio

Prognostication time!

Three Musketeers - $12 Million.

Paranormal Activity - $35 Million.

Johnny English: Reborn - $8 Million.

Mighty Macs - $2 Million. 

Total: $57 Million.

Post by Bigheart711 (1,496 posts) See mini bio

How the fuck did I not see this thread!? D:

Anyway, here's my prediction:

MovieAmount
Three Musketeers$10 Million
Paranornal Activity 3$32 Million
Johnny English: Reborn$5 Million
Mighty Macs$1 Million
Grand Total$48 Million
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