Box Office Predictions

Topic started by obscurefan on May 21, 2012. Last post by roger778 1 year ago.
Post by obscurefan (450 posts) See mini bio

So last week I asked everyone for their predictions on what Battleship would do at the box office and we all had some fun with it, in fact more than a few of us are thinking of restarting the Box Office Winners League. (More on that to come later) But for now let's speculate on another mystery movie coming out this weekend, Men in Black 3. Sure the first two were hits, but has it been too long for them to succeed again? Will the "Meh" of the second scare too many people away? Will they be able to overtake the Avengers?

Leave your predictions for how this movie will do this opening weekend below.

Post by Monkeyman04 (350 posts) See mini bio

I think it will have a really good opening just for that fact that it's Will Smith (not from Tested.com). I don't think it will be able to overtake the Avenger's opening numbers, but it might be able to overtake it for the weekend. If it does it will be by a small margin (most likely).

Post by FinalDasa (2,821 posts) See mini bio
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Check out the wiki task queue for plenty of Men in Black wiki tasks I'll be throwing up all this week!

As for predictions. I'm going to say MIB 3 rakes in a cool $40. Battleship was a big wakeup call but I don't see the people flocking to see another MIB especially with so many other movies getting marketing campaigns and ads. They all just drown one another out.

Post by DonChipotle (204 posts) See mini bio
28 million. 
Post by Ghost_of_GhostDad (950 posts) See mini bio
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People love Will Smith and enough time has passed that I honestly think most people have forgotten how shitty MIB 2 was.  
I think it will finally knock off The Avengers and make 80 million.    Good or bad they sold me on the movie when I heard Josh Brolin's spot-on Tommy Lee Jones impersonation.
Post by Acura_Max (1,065 posts) See mini bio
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I would say 36 million to 40 million. I think that the fact that its the third installment might turn off people who didn't see the other installments in the franchise; 10 years is long time. Not only that, it's also been a while since people have seen Will Smith in a movie. I would say that 4 years is a while.

Post by MrMazz (1,548 posts) See mini bio

45 million seems like a reasonable assumption. Will Smith still prints money and Josh Brolin impersonating Tommy Lee Jones might intrigue older people.

Post by jackanderson (512 posts) See mini bio

So, since I was way, way off on Battleship, this is going to be a bit more conservative an estimate than last time.

I'm going for $47 million. It may knock The Avengers off, but it will be damn, damn close if it does.

By the by, I'm writing the opening week for the Box Office Winners League as I metaphorically speak! Expect it to pop up in the Forums (with all the rules and threads and stuff) on Wednesday! Yay! Right? I haven't ruined it for anyone by going ahead and just making it, have I?

Post by TopSteer (263 posts) See mini bio

I might be overshooting it but I'll say $57 million. I say it wins the weekend too.

Post by obscurefan (450 posts) See mini bio

@jackanderson said:

So, since I was way, way off on Battleship, this is going to be a bit more conservative an estimate than last time.

I'm going for $47 million. It may knock The Avengers off, but it will be damn, damn close if it does.

By the by, I'm writing the opening week for the Box Office Winners League as I metaphorically speak! Expect it to pop up in the Forums (with all the rules and threads and stuff) on Wednesday! Yay! Right? I haven't ruined it for anyone by going ahead and just making it, have I?

Not at all, you're the one who got the idea started back up again in last week's forum and I was excited to see it. I've actually been wanting to ask if you were still planning on doing it so this is great news. I look forward to seeing your post on Wednesday.

As for me I'm going to guess 48 million for MIB3, and I'll say it will knock the Avengers out of the number one slot, but I think it will be close. I'll say the Avengers will end up making 42 million,

Post by jackanderson (512 posts) See mini bio

@obscurefan: Yay! Quick question: should it just be closest, or shall we institute Price Is Right rules (closest without going over)? Otherwise, I'm on it right now! I'm even drawing up a spreadsheet table for leaderboards and everything!

Post by obscurefan (450 posts) See mini bio

@jackanderson: I say go closest, but if you have to do a tie breaker (like two people guess the same distance from it, one over and one under) then whoever doesn't go over wins.

Post by jackanderson (512 posts) See mini bio

@obscurefan: Right. Finally, it'll run for 8 weeks but should I start new threads for each week or should I keep it all in one thread? I'm leaning towards the former.

Post by obscurefan (450 posts) See mini bio

@jackanderson: I'd go with the former as well, makes it easier for people to just jump right to the most current week.

Post by Suedehead (133 posts) See mini bio

MIB makes 43 million. Avengers falls to 28 million.

Post by Mr_skeleton (953 posts) See mini bio

45 million opening and 450 million total worldwide.

Post by obscurefan (450 posts) See mini bio

Good predictions folks, now take all these and head on over to jackanderson's thread here where you can participate in the Screened Box Office Winners League.

Post by roger778 (351 posts) See mini bio

Wait, don't forget me!

I predict somewhere around $50-60 million, and that's because of Will Smith, and Tommy Lee Jones both back together again.

38 votes, 3.2 avg.
General Information Edit
Name Men in Black III
US Release May 25, 2012
UK Release May 25, 2012
AUS Release May 24, 2012
Runtime 106
Language(s)
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Genre(s)
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Theme(s)
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Rating PG-13
Alias(es) Men in Black 3
Men in Black 3D
MIB^3
MIB3
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  • In today's dollars
    Domestic $179,020,854
    Foreign +443,469,332
  • = total worldwide gross $622,490,186
  • - a reported budget of $215,000,000
  • = a 189.5% net profit of $407,490,186
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